Archive for June, 2008

Time-Tested Strategies

Monday, June 30th, 2008

Shawn Brimley at Democracy Arsenal argues that America is suffering from strategic myopia and strategic amnesia, afflictions that blind us to the time-tested tools and strategies we have successfully used in the past to chart a winning foreign policy. Is there a danger that Iraq and the War on Terrorism are distracting the U.S. from our larger duties as global hegemon and challenges posed by emerging global powers? 

North Korean Progress

Friday, June 27th, 2008

Continuing with the theme of the last post, here is a video of North Korea destroying a water cooling tower at a nuclear facility as part of the recent nuclear disclosure agreement with the U.S. and the other six-party countries. U.S. State Department officials and IAEA representatives were invited to observe the event.

According to this report (CNN - N. Korea destroys nuclear reactor tower) the event is being recognized as a milestone in the disarmament effort:

Nuclear experts say that the plant’s destroyed central water-cooling tower would take a year or longer to rebuild if North Korea were to try using the plant again. “This is a critical piece of equipment for the nuclear reactor,” said analyst John Wolfsthal, of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, who has been following North Korea since the 1980s. “Without this facility, the reactor can’t operate and can’t produce more plutonium for weapons.”

As I mentioned in the previous post, these are positive developments, but many issues remain to be addressed, including the possible proliferation of nuclear technology to other countries. The Carnegie Endowment and the National Committee on North Korea recently held a joint discussion on North Korea’s nuclear program in which these concerns were raised (Policy Options for North Korea’s Nuclear Program):

Gallucci expressed approval of recent breakthroughs with North Korea but remained highly dissatisfied with Pyongyang’s lack of disclosure regarding the Syrian connection. Ford argued that varied policy approaches to North Korea have failed, necessitating more innovative policy solutions from the next U.S. administration.

The full transcript of the Carnegie event can be found here (PDF).

North Korea: Full Disclosure?

Thursday, June 26th, 2008

 

After months of multilateral negotiations with the U.S. and other countries, North Korea today publicly detailed the extent of their long secret nuclear program and President Bush quickly reciprocated by removing North Korea from the list of state sponsors of terrorism (Washington Post - North Korea Details Nuclear Program):

President Bush today lifted some trade sanctions against North Korea and acted to remove the country from a list of states that sponsor terrorism, after the isolated Stalinist regime turned over a key document detailing its rogue nuclear program. Nearly seven years after Bush described North Korea as part of “an axis of evil” and less than two years after Pyongyang stunned the world by exploding a small nuclear device, Bush said the receipt of the nuclear disclosure marked the start of an “action for action” process meant to end with the full dismantling of the country’s nuclear facilities and weapons.

This is very good news and represents a rare foreign policy victory for President Bush and an affirmation of Secretary Rice’s efforts to gently nudge the U.S. back to a more multilateral policy after what many saw as the unilateralism of Bush’s first term.

Sounding a cautionary note though on this breakthrough, Ted Galen Carpenter, The Cato Institute’s Vice-President for Defense and Foreign Policy Studies, notes (For Media):

Both Pyongyang’s declaration and Washington’s response are modestly worthwhile steps that maintain the momentum in the diplomatic process aimed at getting North Korea to end its effort to acquire a nuclear arsenal. But one must be realistic about that diplomatic process; the declaration itself apparently contains some major holes. Pyongyang has not been required to disclose whether it has already built nuclear weapons, and there is no provision for international inspections to determine whether North Korea has constructed nuclear sites other than the known reactor at Yongbyon. It is also important to remember that the North Korean regime has violated every previous agreement it has signed on nuclear issues. Given that record, there remains a very real danger that Pyongyang is engaging in a diplomatic charade while it continues a quest for a nuclear-weapons capability. There is also the worrisome evidence of North Korea’s proliferation activities, including its apparent transfer of nuclear-related technology to Syria. At best, the new developments deserve no more than one-and-a-half cheers.

Time will tell whether North Korea is genuinely interested in disarmament but we can certainly take these recent developments (in which the U.S gained information and access) as grounds for cautious optimism. Score one for diplomacy.

Berlin Airlift Remembered

Thursday, June 26th, 2008

 

I’d like to begin this blog about the U.S. Role by using this first post to look back to a time when the U.S. aided a former enemy and helped lay the foundation for the post-WWII era in world affairs (International Herald Tribune - Germany remember Berlin airlift on 60th anniversary):

Germany on Thursday commemorated the 60th anniversary of the start of the Berlin airlift, celebrating an unprecedented undertaking that probably saved the city from falling to the Soviet Union and helped mend German-American relations after World War II. Often called the first battle of the Cold War, the airlift pitted the United States and the Soviet Union against each other for the first time and set the tone for the decades to come.

Imagine for a moment a world still reeling from the damage of WWII as the U.S. stepped up to airlift food, medicine and supplies to the besieged citizens of Berlin. If public opinion had been as active then, if there had been bloggers, would war-weary people have supported such a daring and certainly dangerous humanitarian mission? U.S. intervention is often cast in negative terms these days, so I thought perhaps this first post might take a moment to look back to a time when international issues seemed to allow for greater moral clarity than do many of the issues we face today. The Berlin Airlift is remembered as a shining moment of American resolve against the Soviet Union, which set the stage for later Cold War confrontations, and as an example of the kinds of humanitarian assistance that the U.S. went on to extend to many nations (most recently in China and Myanmar) in times of trouble.